Insights into the accuracy of social scientists? forecasts of societal change

Igor Grossmann, Amanda Rotella, Cendri A. Hutcherson, Konstantyn Sharpinskyi, Michael E. W. Varnum, Sebastian Achter, Mandeep K. Dhami, Xinqi Evie Guo, Mane Kara-Yakoubian, David R. Mandel, Louis Raes, Louis Tay, Aymeric Vie, Lisa Wagner, Matus Adamkovic, Arash Arami, Patricia Arriaga, Kasun Bandara, Gabriel Banok, Frantisek Bartos, Ernest Baskin, Christoph Bergmeir, Michal Bialek, Caroline K. Borsting, Dillon T. Browne, Eugene M. Caruso, Rong Chen, Bin-Tzong Chie, William J. Chopik, Robert N. Collins, Chin Wen Cong, Lucian G. Conway, Matthew Davis, Martin V. Day, Nathan A. Dhaliwal, Justin D. Durham, Martyna Dziekan, Christian T. Elbaek, Eric Shuman, Marharyta Fabrykant, Mustafa Firat, Geoffrey T. Fong, Jeremy A. Frimer, Jonathan M. Gallegos, Simon B. Goldberg, Anton Gollwitzer, Julia Goyal, Lorenz Graf-Vlachy, Scott D. Gronlund, Sebastian Hafenbradl, Andree Hartanto, Matthew J. Hirshberg, Matthew J. Hornsey, Piers D. L. Howe, Anoosha Izadi, Bastian Jaeger, Pavol Kacmar, Yeun Joon Kim, Ruslan Krenzler, Daniel G. Lannin, Hung-Wen Lin, Nigel Mantou Lou, Verity Y. Q. Lua, Aaron W. Lukaszewski, Albert L. Ly, Christopher R. Madan, Maximilian Maier, Nadyanna M. Majeed, David S. March, Abigail A. Marsh, Michal Misiak, Kristian Ove R. Myrseth, Jaime M. Napan, Jonathan Nicholas, Konstantinos Nikolopoulos, O. Jiaqing, Tobias Otterbring, Mariola Paruzel-Czachura, Shiva Pauer, John Protzko, Quentin Raffaelli, Ivan Ropovik, Robert M. Ross, Yefim Roth, Espen Roysamb, Landon Schnabel, Astrid Schutz, Matthias Seifert, A. T. Sevincer, Garrick T. Sherman, Otto Simonsson, Ming-Chien Sung, Chung-Ching Tai, Thomas Talhelm, Bethany A. Teachman, Philip E. Tetlock, Dimitrios Thomakos, Dwight C. K. Tse, Oliver J. Twardus, Joshua M. Tybur, Lyle Ungar, Daan Vandermeulen, Leighton Vaughan Williams, Hrag A. Vosgerichian, Qi Wang, Ke Wang, Mark E. Whiting, Conny E. Wollbrant, Tao Yang, Kumar Yogeeswaran, Sangsuk Yoon, Ventura R. Alves, Jessica R. Andrews-Hanna, Paul A. Bloom, Anthony Boyles, Loo Charis, Mingyeong Choi, Sean Darling-Hammond, Z. E. Ferguson, Cheryl R. Kaiser, Simon T. Karg, Alberto Lopez Ortega, Lori Mahoney, Melvin S. Marsh, Marcellin F. R. C. Martinie, Eli K. Michaels, Philip Millroth, Jeanean B. Naqvi, Weiting Ng, Robb B. Rutledge, Peter Slattery, Adam H. Smiley, Oliver Strijbis, Daniel Sznycer, Eli Tsukayama, Austin van Loon, Jan G. Voelkel, Margaux N. A. Wienk, Tom Wilkening, The Forecasting Collaborative
(2023) In: Nature Human Behaviour

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